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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,881,134 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ15.0-16.0%$1,881,134

15.5%

-1.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ10.0-11.0%$1,881,134

10.5%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ7.0-8.0%$1,881,134

7.5%

+0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ6.0-7.0%$1,881,134

6.5%

0.5%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ5.0-6.0%$1,881,134

5.5%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ5.0-6.0%$1,881,134

5.5%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ5.0-6.0%$1,881,134

5.5%

+0.0%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ3.0-4.0%$1,881,134

3.5%

+0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ3.0-4.0%$1,881,134

3.5%

+0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ3.0-4.0%$1,881,134

3.5%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ3.0-4.0%$1,881,134

3.5%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ2.0-3.0%$1,881,134

2.5%

+0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ2.0-3.0%$1,881,134

2.5%

+0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ2.0-3.0%$1,881,134

2.5%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ2.0-3.0%$1,881,134

2.5%

+0.0%

19.5%
GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,101,767 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ42.0-43.0%$1,101,767

42.5%

+0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ8.0-9.0%$1,101,767

8.5%

-1.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ5.0-6.0%$1,101,767

5.5%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ4.0-5.0%$1,101,767

4.5%

+0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ4.0-5.0%$1,101,767

4.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ3.0-4.0%$1,101,767

3.5%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ2.0-3.0%$1,101,767

2.5%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ2.0-3.0%$1,101,767

2.5%

+0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ1.0-2.0%$1,101,767

1.5%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ1.0-2.0%$1,101,767

1.5%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ1.0-2.0%$1,101,767

1.5%

+0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ1.0-2.0%$1,101,767

1.5%

+0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ1.0-2.0%$1,101,767

1.5%

+0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ1.0-2.0%$1,101,767

1.5%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ1.0-2.0%$1,101,767

1.5%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ1.0-2.0%$1,101,767

1.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ1.0-2.0%$1,101,767

1.5%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ1.0-2.0%$1,101,767

1.5%

+0.0%

11.0%
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$368,820 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§22.2-22.7%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§20.8-22.2%$38,217

22.0%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§5.3-5.7%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§5.3-5.4%$38,217

5.4%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§4.5-4.8%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§5.0-5.3%$38,217

4.9%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§3.6-4.0%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§4.0-4.5%$38,217

4.0%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§3.3-4.8%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§3.3-4.3%$38,217

3.9%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.9-3.8%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§3.3-4.0%$38,217

3.5%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.3-3.1%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.9-3.3%$38,217

2.9%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.2-4.5%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.0-2.3%$38,217

2.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.5-3.1%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.4-2.5%$38,217

2.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.3-2.8%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.3-2.6%$38,217

2.5%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§1.3-1.8%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§1.3-1.7%$38,217

1.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§1.3-1.4%$38,217

1.3%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§1.1-1.3%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.9-1.5%$38,217

1.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.1-1.3%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§1.0-1.2%$38,217

0.9%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.2-2.9%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.0-0.3%$38,217

0.9%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.3-1.1%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.4-0.5%$38,217

0.5%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.1-1.0%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.2-0.4%$38,217

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.2-0.6%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.3-0.4%$38,217

0.4%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.2-0.7%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.2-0.4%$38,217

0.4%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.1-0.4%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.2-0.5%$38,217

0.3%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.1-0.6%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.0-0.4%$38,217

0.3%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.1-8.7%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.3-0.4%$38,217

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.1-0.5%$330,603
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.0-0.2%$38,217

0.2%

-0.0%

36.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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